“All told, it is
estimated that about 104,000 people would lose
their jobs following the implementation of this
rule. This
would reduce national GDP by $14.0 billion, and
would cost a total of $1.36 billion in lost
revenues to the Federal, state and local
governments.”
John Dunham and Associates, “The Impact
of Proposed Grain Inspection, Packers and
Stockyards Administration Proposed Rule,”
August 24, 2010
“Total job losses
as a result of the rule are expected to total
just over 22,800.
Job losses will be highest in the production
sectors for beef and pork with cattle ranching
expected to lose nearly 2900 jobs while pork
production could
lose over 1900 jobs.”
INFORMA ECONOMICS, “An Estimate of the
Economic Impact of GIPSA’s Proposed Rules,”
November 8, 2010.
“The proposed rule
changes are likely to slow the pace of
innovation, increase the costs of raising live
chickens, and result
in costly litigation,” wrote Thomas E. Elam,
president of FarmEcon. “Higher costs would put
upward pressure on chicken prices, and economic
theory strongly
suggests that consumers would ultimately bear
most of these costs.”
Dr. Tom Elam, FarmEcon.com, “Proposed
GIPSA Rules Relating to the Chicken Industry,”
November 16, 2010
“If marketing
arrangements are greatly reduced, cattlemen are
the losers because it takes away their ability
and incentive to
manage risks, finance production and compete
with one another to negotiate premiums. With
alternative marketing arrangements being
utilized by nearly 60
percent of the beef market, this will result in
a huge shift in the way cattle are
marketed.”
The National Cattlemen’s Beef
Association
“As an economist
who makes his living studying and modeling the
economic impact of government regulations on
businesses and
industries, I have seen firsthand the
unintended consequences of misguided policy
proposals like the one proposed by USDA,” noted
John Dunham, president of
John Dunham and Associates, who conducted the
study. “It is noteworthy that USDA says this
proposal will revitalize rural America, yet my
analysis shows it
will actually cause substantial job
losses.”
John Dunham and Associates, “The Impact
of Proposed Grain Inspection, Packers and
Stockyards Administration Proposed Rule,”
August 24, 2010
“As a result of
the decline in economic activity, tax revenues
are expected to decline by $359 million, with
46% of that
reduction occurring at the state and local
level.”
INFORMA ECONOMICS, “An Estimate of the
Economic Impact of GIPSA’s Proposed Rules,”
November 8, 2010.
“As a scientist
who has dedicated her life to improving
livestock welfare, I am extremely alarmed that
the department
ultimately responsible for enforcing the Humane
Slaughter Act apparently has paid so little
attention to the animal welfare implications of
this proposal. I
urge Agriculture Secretary Vilsack to
reconsider this rule in order to maintain good
animal welfare and to foster development of
important niche markets
that create many marketing opportunities for
producers. This will help animal welfare, rural
development and family farms.”
Colorado State University Professor
Temple Grandin, Ph.D
“I have recently
been contacted by agricultural leaders that
represent a majority of livestock producers in
Indiana. … I agree
with these producers that federal regulations
should not impede the development of products,
in this case those derived from raising poultry
and livestock
that may command a higher market price due to
desirable characteristics. I also agree that
the development of private contracts that
facilitate these
transactions, Alternative Marketing Agreements
(AMA), have played an important role in
efficient poultry and livestock production
practices that respond to
rapidly changing consumer choices.”
Rep. Richard Lugar (R-IN):
“To fail to fully
grasp, or even contemplate, the long-term
economic implications of the rule does a grave
disservice to the
very growers the agency aims to
assist.”
National Turkey Federation
“The rule is
expected to have a significant impact on
livestock auction facilities and commission
agents. We find that the rule
may reduce buyer participation at auction barns
to the point where 150-200 of the smallest
barns in remote areas may go out of
business.”
INFORMA ECONOMICS, “An Estimate of the
Economic Impact of GIPSA’s Proposed Rules,”
November 8, 2010.
“If the rule
becomes final as currently drafted, it would be
difficult for producers to negotiate premiums
from packers because
premiums would need to be justified with
documentation, including revenue and cost
analyses. It also would be difficult for
packers to accept livestock of
lesser quality because discounts paid for such
animals also would need to be
justified.”
The National Pork Producers
Council
“This represents a
radical change with huge implications in the
way we sell slaughter livestock in the United
States. It also
greatly affects the production contracts that
we use for producing our livestock and poultry
in the United States. And these proposed
changes are not coming
from court decisions, but from bureaucrats, who
think this set of rules and regulations will
provide answers in lieu of an economic study.
This is not the
way we envision that our democracy is supposed
to work.”
Ron Plain, University of Missouri
Agriculture Economist
“Indeed, many
believe that these actions by GIPSA are an
attempt to set the livestock industries back 30
or 40 years, to a time
when marketing cattle and hogs were less
complicated.”
Greg Henderson, Drovers Magazine, July
14, 2010
“Raising and
marketing cattle should be left to people who
love red meat, not red tape. But the proposed
GIPSA rule would
disrupt value-based marketing and become a
bonanza for trial lawyers because the rule
would make it easier to file lawsuits against
meat companies that use
contracts for the alternative marketing
arrangements. That would be bad news for
everyone who relies on a thriving meat and
poultry industry: large and
small,”
Certified Angus Beef Founder Mick
Colvin
The new rule
“appears to be one-sided, unrealistic and not
in accordance with court rulings. The likely
result will be years of
litigation and uncertainty as companies,
growers and the government try to sort out the
impact on what has been an efficient system for
producing an
agricultural commodity.”
The National Chicken Council
“Ongoing and
indirect costs will eventually be borne by
consumers and producers, not
packers.”
INFORMA ECONOMICS, “An Estimate of the
Economic Impact of GIPSA’s Proposed Rules,”
November 8, 2010.
“Why are we trying
to fix something that isn’t broken? Anybody
ought to be free to sell at any price that they
want to whomever
they want. If the U.S. government would just
get out of the way, there’s nobody gonna out
produce the quality or the quantity of what the
Idaho farmer,
rancher, producer can produce. There’s nobody
that’s gonna add better quality to the value of
a raw resource that comes out of the farm gate
than the Idaho
work force and manufacturers. Get out of our
way and Idaho will be the number one leader out
of this recession.”
Idaho Governor C.L. “Butch”
Otter:
“Total identifiable cost increases over the
first 5 years of enforcement total almost $1.03
billion. Higher costs would put upward
pressures on chicken
prices, and economic theory strongly suggests
that consumers would ultimately bear most of
those costs.”
Dr. Tom Elam, FarmEcon.com, “Proposed
GIPSA Rules Relating to the Chicken Industry,”
November 16, 2010